CHINA's annual export growth may have picked up slightly in April due to a low
comparison from a year ago, while import growth probably eased, suggesting the
underlying momentum for both the domestic and global economies remains tepid
according to the median forecast of 27 economists polled by Reuters.
Economists have said that the likely uptick in the year on year export
figure cannot mask weakness in real external demand, given the patchy recovery
in the U.S. and no quick turnaround for the euro zone. Recent data including
Korea's exports data and global leading indicators have been indicating weaker
external demand growth momentum.
The sequential exports growth rate is
expected to be low. Nevertheless, year on year growth is likely to show a modest
rebound, due to a low base. China's exports likely grew 10.3 percent in April
from a year ago, up from an increase of 10 percent in March.Imports were seen
rising 13.9 percent last month, down from a rise of 14.1 percent in March. That
would leave an estimated trade surplus of $15.1 billion, compared with a slight
trade deficit of $0.88 billion in March.
|