WORLD
trade growth fell to 2.0% in 2012 - down from 5.2% in 2011 - and is expected to
remain sluggish in 2013 at around 3.3% as the economic slowdown in Europe
continues to suppress global import demand, WTO economists reported on 10 April
2013.
The
abrupt deceleration of trade in 2012 was attributed to slow growth in developed
economies and recurring bouts of uncertainty over the future of the euro.
Flagging output and high unemployment in developed countries reduced imports and
fed through to a lower pace of export growth in both developed and developing
economies.
The
events of 2012 should serve as a reminder that the structural flaws in economies
that were revealed by the economic crisis have not been fully addressed, despite
important progress in some areas. Repairing these fissures needs to be the
priority for 2013. As long as global economic weakness persists, protectionist
pressure will build and could eventually become overwhelming. The threat of
protectionism may be greater now than at any time since the start of the crisis,
since other polices to restore growth have been tried and found wanting. To
prevent a self-destructive lapse into economic nationalism, countries need to
refocus their attention on reinforcing the multilateral trading system. Trade
can once again be an engine of growth and a source of strength for the global
economy rather than a barometer of instability.
|