TAX revenues
continue bouncing back from the low levels reported in almost all countries
during 2008 and 2009, at the height of the global economic crisis, according
to new OECD data in the annual Revenue Statistics publication. The average
tax revenue to GDP ratio in OECD countries was 34.6% in 2012, compared
with 34.1% in 2011 and 33.8% in 2010.
The ratio of tax revenues to GDP rose in 21 of the 30 countries for which 2012
data is available, and fell in only 9 countries. The number of countries with
increasing and decreasing ratios was similar to that seen in 2011, indicating
a continuing trend toward higher revenues.
The largest increases in 2012 occurred in Hungary, Greece, Italy and New Zealand.
The largest falls were in Israel, Portugal and the United Kingdom.
The increase in tax ratios between 2011 and 2012 is due to a combination of
factors. In progressive tax regimes, revenue rises faster than income during
periods of real income growth. Discretionary tax changes have also played a
role, as many countries raised tax rates and/or broadened tax bases. Discretionary
tax changes played a greater role in a handful of European countries where
GDP levels actually declined in 2012.
The
new data point to rising revenues in central, state and regional governments
following the declines in 2008 and 2009, whereas the average tax ratio for
local governments has remained steady since 2007.
The average tax burden in OECD countries increased by 0.5 percentage points,
to 34.6% in 2012. This followed rises of 0.2 and 0.3 percentage points in 2010
and 2011, reversing the decline from 35% to 33.6% between 2007 and 2009. This
is still below the most recent peak year of 2007 when tax revenues to GDP ratios
averaged 35%.
Between 2011 and 2012, the largest tax ratio increases were in Hungary (1.8
percentage points) and in Greece (1.6 points). Other countries with substantial
rises in their tax to GDP ratio between 2011 and 2012 were Italy and New Zealand
(1.4 points), plus Belgium, France and Iceland (1.2 points).
The largest fall was in Israel with a decline from 32.6% to 31.6%. Portugal
and the United Kingdom showed falls of 0.5 percentage points.
The increase in the United States, from 24.0% of GDP in 2011 to 24.3% in 2012,
was lower than that seen in the OECD area.
|